Marignane GCB 3-2 Cholet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.44
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
9%
4.34
X/2
11%
6.78
X/X
12%
3.88
2/1
13%
30.5
2/2
11%
5.59
2/X
5%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.8pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marignane GCB EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Cholet EU Bookmakers 30%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
3.05/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.67
+117% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marignane GCB
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Cholet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3 Corners 5
15.09.2023 Cholet Cholet 0-1 HT 0-0 Marignane GCB Marignane GCB FR3
POST-MATCH Marignane GCB vs Cholet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marignane GCB edged past Cholet 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marignane GCB as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Marignane GCB vs Cholet?

Marignane GCB 3-2 Cholet in the France - National League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marignane GCB vs Cholet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marignane GCB win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Marignane GCB 43%, draw 27%, Cholet 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marignane GCB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marignane GCB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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