Sochaux 1-1 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 35% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.9
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.38
X/2
12%
5.33
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.85
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.9pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sochaux EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.86/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.81
+53% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sochaux
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Martigues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Martigues Martigues 1-2 HT 0-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR3
13.01.2001 Sochaux Sochaux 1-0 HT 1-0 Martigues Martigues FR2
01.09.2000 Martigues Martigues 2-0 HT 1-0 Sochaux Sochaux FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sochaux
1-1
AWAY Martigues
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sochaux vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux and Martigues shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sochaux had 50% of the ball to Martigues's 50%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sochaux had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sochaux and 1.00 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Sochaux vs Martigues?

Sochaux 1-1 Martigues in the France - National League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sochaux vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sochaux 38%, draw 29%, Martigues 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sochaux), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sochaux) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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