Red Star FC 93 4-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
12%
3.97
X/2
10%
8.03
X/X
15%
4.37
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
11%
6.67
2/X
8%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.34
+7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
04.08.2023 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 HAZ
10.02.2023 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
05.09.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
25.03.2022 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR3
25.10.2021 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 1-2 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
4-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Red Star FC 93 ran out comfortable winners over Le Mans FC 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Red Star FC 93 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 60% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 40%, shots finished 19-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 0.83 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Le Mans FC?

Red Star FC 93 4-1 Le Mans FC in the France - National League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 44%, draw 30%, Le Mans FC 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Red Star FC 93) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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