Nimes 1-1 Villefranche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
10%
5.74
X/X
14%
3.83
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
15%
4.37
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nimes EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Villefranche EU Bookmakers 36%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.19/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.05
-9% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
249 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nimes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Villefranche
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Villefranche Villefranche 1-1 HT 0-1 Nimes Nimes FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nimes
1-1
AWAY Villefranche
70% Ball Possession 30%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nimes vs Villefranche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nimes and Villefranche couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Nimes had 70% of the ball to Villefranche's 30%, shots finished 19-4.

What was the final score of Nimes vs Villefranche?

Nimes 1-1 Villefranche in the France - National League 1 on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nimes vs Villefranche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nimes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nimes 39%, draw 30%, Villefranche 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nimes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nimes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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