Fenerbahçe 2-2 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
6.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
17.65
X/1
19%
3.98
X/2
6%
15.2
X/X
8%
7.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.4
2/2
8%
11.85
2/X
4%
20.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.9pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
2.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.29
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.0 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.16 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
402 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2025 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-5 HT 2-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
02.02.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-5 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.02.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
01.10.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
2-2
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.43 xG 0.74
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
358 Passes 228
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Çaykur Rizespor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fenerbahçe at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 60% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 40%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.43 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Fenerbahçe 2-2 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 65%, draw 17%, Çaykur Rizespor 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fenerbahçe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
17 Apr 2026
20:00 Antalyaspor vs Konyaspor Analysis →