Çaykur Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
60%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.95
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.97
1/2
10%
21.65
1/X
6%
16.25
X/1
7%
10.35
X/2
25%
4.28
X/X
7%
5.81
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.08
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.2pp
60%
Away Win
56%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 61%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.66/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.02
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
269 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
21.4 Crosses 19.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.55 xG 3.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
259 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-2 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
25.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-5 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.02.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-3 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
01.10.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 5-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
19.01.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
22.04.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-6 HT 0-3 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-5
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.82 xG 3.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 14
5 Corners 9
242 Passes 412
79% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe swept aside Çaykur Rizespor 5-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 41% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 59%, shots finished 6-28, expected goals 0.82 to 3.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 4.00 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 21%, draw 19%, Fenerbahçe 60%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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