Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.61
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
21%
4.64
X/2
7%
8.04
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
13%
6.11
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.77
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.9 Crosses 18.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.50 xG 1.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
420 Passes 294
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 2-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.10.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
04.02.2024 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-1 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
17.09.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-3 HT 2-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
30.05.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-3 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
04.01.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 4-1 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-2
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.82 xG 1.01
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 1
527 Passes 212
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
42 Box Touches 17
38 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa nicked a narrow win over Alanyaspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alanyaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 68% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 32%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.82 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.67 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 46%, draw 27%, Kasımpaşa 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
23 Nov 2025
14:30 Göztepe vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
17:00 Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor Analysis →
20:00 Çaykur Rizespor vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →