Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.0
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.63
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
16%
4.91
X/2
7%
7.93
X/X
14%
5.27
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
8%
5.54
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.68/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.44
-5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.2 Crosses 15.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.53 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
355 Passes 254
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
11.08.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.04.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
26.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.04.2012 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.12.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
1-1
AWAY Samsunspor
1.59 xG 1.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
432 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş and Samsunspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 61% of the ball to Samsunspor's 39%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.59 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.67 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Beşiktaş 1-1 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 47%, draw 31%, Samsunspor 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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