Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.19
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
16%
5.35
X/2
14%
6.56
X/X
14%
5.04
2/1
5%
24.65
2/2
15%
4.4
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.08/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.52
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / -35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
13.8 Crosses 10.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Yverdon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.03.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
02.02.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 3-0 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
04.08.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
03.03.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
28.10.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
02.09.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
2-2
AWAY Yverdon
2.26 xG 0.81
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
413 Passes 225
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur and Yverdon couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Winterthur had 62% of the ball to Yverdon's 38%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.26 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yverdon led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Winterthur and 1.33 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Yverdon?

Winterthur 2-2 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 39%, draw 26%, Yverdon 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winterthur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winterthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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