St. Gallen 3-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
12%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.93
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
16%
5.39
X/2
13%
7.08
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.0
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
7%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.65/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.7 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zürich
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.52 xG 0.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 328
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 1-2 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
15.12.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
24.09.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
25.05.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
3-2
AWAY Zürich
3.45 xG 2.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 2
205 Passes 319
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen edged past Zürich 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St. Gallen had 43% of the ball to Zürich's 57%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 3.45 to 2.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for St. Gallen and 0.67 for Zürich.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Zürich?

St. Gallen 3-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 37%, draw 26%, Zürich 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
17 May 2025
19:00 Winterthur vs Yverdon Analysis →
21:30 Sion vs Grasshoppers Analysis →