Zürich vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zürich v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Zürich vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Zürich
İSV
1-1
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
Zürich 1-2 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen squeezed past Zürich 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Zürich had 68% of the ball to St. Gallen's 32%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 0.74 to 2.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St. Gallen's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zürich and 1.67 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Zürich vs St. Gallen?
Zürich 1-2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zürich vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zürich 35%, draw 27%, St. Gallen 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.