Royal Antwerp 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
55%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.55
1/2
11%
22.9
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
6%
10.65
X/2
19%
4.24
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.08
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Union Saint-Gilloise win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 61%
+17% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
0.92/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.04
+44% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
14.0 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royal Antwerp
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.04 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
384 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.03.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 5-1 HT 3-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
08.01.2025 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 5-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEK
01.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
15.09.2024 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
09.05.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-0 HT 1-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEK
28.04.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 HT 2-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Royal Antwerp
0-4
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.64 xG 2.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
448 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise cruised past Royal Antwerp 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Royal Antwerp had 60% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 40%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.64 to 2.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Royal Antwerp and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Royal Antwerp 0-4 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Royal Antwerp 21%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL More Belgium - Pro League
17 May 2025
19:15 Standard Liege vs Dender EH Analysis →