Valour 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 17 May 2025

Valour
2-1 HT 0-1
York United
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2025

Valour vs York United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.72
6+ Goals
7%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 31% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valour v York United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.95/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.57
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
20.8 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Valour vs York United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
2W-1D-3L
AWAY York United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.26 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
325 Passes 442
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 York United York United 1-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
12.08.2024 Valour Valour 0-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
28.06.2024 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
11.05.2024 York United York United 3-1 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
09.09.2023 York United York United 1-3 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
24.07.2023 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL

Valour 2-1 York United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
2-1
AWAY York United
1.25 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
364 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valour vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour edged past York United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Valour found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valour had 56% of the ball to York United's 44%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Valour and 1.33 for York United.

What was the final score of Valour vs York United?

Valour 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Valour 34%, draw 31%, York United 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (York United) ✗ Under 2.5
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