Nacional Asuncion 4-0 Sportivo Luqueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.54/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.48
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.03.2025 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
22.10.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
13.08.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
04.05.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
12.02.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
02.12.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
4-0
AWAY Sportivo Luqueno
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo Luqueno 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Asuncion as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 51% of the ball to Sportivo Luqueno's 49%, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 1.33 for Sportivo Luqueno.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Nacional Asuncion 4-0 Sportivo Luqueno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Luqueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 45%, draw 28%, Sportivo Luqueno 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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