Leeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 17 May 2026

Leeds United
1-0 HT 0-0
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.17
1/2
9%
24.35
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
16%
7.05
X/2
13%
4.75
X/X
14%
4.74
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
18%
2.8
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.54/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.17
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
22.0 Crosses 20.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.03 xG 2.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
11.03.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 2-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.08.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
15.05.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 0-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.11.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
01.05.2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP

Leeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
1-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.37 xG 3.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 8
188 Passes 471
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 39
20 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Leeds United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Leeds United had 34% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 66%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.37 to 3.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brighton & Hove Albion.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leeds United and 1.50 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Leeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 34%, draw 25%, Brighton & Hove Albion 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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