Newcastle United vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle United v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle United vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
1-5
HT 1-2
Newcastle United
İNP
Newcastle United 3-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics
Newcastle United got the better of West Ham United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle United had 55% of the ball to West Ham United's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.73 to 0.95.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Newcastle United and 1.83 for West Ham United.
What was the final score of Newcastle United vs West Ham United?
Newcastle United 3-1 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs West Ham United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 51%, draw 21%, West Ham United 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.