Everton vs Sunderland Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Everton v Sunderland — Team-Based Signals
Everton vs Sunderland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Sunderland
İNLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Sunderland
İNP
0-3
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
3-0
HT 2-0
Everton
İNP
Everton 1-3 Sunderland — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland saw off Everton 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Everton at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Everton had 47% of the ball to Sunderland's 53%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.76.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Everton had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Everton and 0.83 for Sunderland.
What was the final score of Everton vs Sunderland?
Everton 1-3 Sunderland in the England - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Everton vs Sunderland?
Before kick-off our model rated a Everton win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Everton 52%, draw 24%, Sunderland 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.