Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
7%
9.02
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
21.8
2/2
9%
6.79
2/X
5%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 14% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
54%
+5.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
2.39/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.49
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
470 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.6 Crosses 14.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 0.97
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
372 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 2-0 HT 1-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.01.2025 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-2 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
18.08.2024 Brentford Brentford 2-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
30.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.08.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.02.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
2-2
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.71 xG 1.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
372 Passes 229
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford and Crystal Palace shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Brentford carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brentford had 58% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 42%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.71 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brentford and 1.50 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Brentford 2-2 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Brentford 59%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brentford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brentford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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