Hammarby vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Hammarby v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals
Hammarby vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hammarby 4-1 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics
Hammarby dismantled Malmö FF 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (56%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 50% to 50% in Hammarby's favour, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 3.50 to 1.01.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Hammarby against 2.00 for Malmö FF.
Hammarby vs Malmö FF Result & Final Score
Hammarby 4 - 1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Hammarby vs Malmö FF Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 69%, draw 17%, Malmö FF 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.