Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.19/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.22
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 2-3 HT 1-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY CD Guadalajara
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II nicked a narrow win over CD Guadalajara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Athletic Bilbao II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 51% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 49%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Guadalajara?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 39%, draw 25%, CD Guadalajara 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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