Real Madrid II 3-3 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 May 2026

Real Madrid II
3-3 HT 2-2
Arenas de Getxo
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Real Madrid II vs Arenas de Getxo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.32
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.27
No
46%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
12.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
71%
-5.5pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.8pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid II v Arenas de Getxo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.86/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.71
+8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1

Real Madrid II vs Arenas de Getxo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.01.2026 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 4-1 HT 4-1 Real Madrid II Real Madrid II İS3

Real Madrid II 3-3 Arenas de Getxo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid II
3-3
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Madrid II vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II and Arenas de Getxo couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Real Madrid II carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid II had 56% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Real Madrid II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Real Madrid II 3-3 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid II 66%, draw 18%, Arenas de Getxo 17%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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