Real Aviles 1-4 Barakaldo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
7%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Barakaldo EU Bookmakers 46%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.10/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.62
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barakaldo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2025 Barakaldo Barakaldo 1-2 HT 1-2 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
1-4
AWAY Barakaldo
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barakaldo ran out comfortable winners over Real Aviles 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Barakaldo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Aviles had 43% of the ball to Barakaldo's 57%, shots finished 9-15.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Barakaldo?

Real Aviles 1-4 Barakaldo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Barakaldo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 35%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barakaldo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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