Merida AD 1-1 Unionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 17 May 2026

Merida AD
1-1 HT 1-1
Unionistas
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Unionistas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.32
6+ Goals
11%
23.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Unionistas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Unionistas EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.54
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 18.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Merida AD vs Unionistas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merida AD
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Unionistas
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
11.10.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 2-0 HT 0-0 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
22.08.2025 Unionistas Unionistas 2-5 HT 0-3 Merida AD Merida AD HAZ
18.02.2023 Unionistas Unionistas 0-1 HT 0-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
24.09.2022 Merida AD Merida AD 1-1 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Unionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD and Unionistas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Merida AD had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Merida AD and 1.25 for Unionistas.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Unionistas?

Merida AD 1-1 Unionistas in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Unionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 39%, draw 28%, Unionistas 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Merida AD) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Under 2.5
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