Celta Vigo II vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celta Vigo II v Lugo — Team-Based Signals
Celta Vigo II vs Lugo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Celta Vigo II
HAZ
Celta Vigo II 0-1 Lugo — Actual Match Statistics
Lugo nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Celta Vigo II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Celta Vigo II had 59% of the ball to Lugo's 41%, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.17 for Lugo.
What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Lugo?
Celta Vigo II 0-1 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Lugo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 46%, draw 30%, Lugo 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II), BTTS Yes went the other way.