Midtjylland 2-3 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.01
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.05
X/1
19%
5.34
X/2
9%
6.75
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
16%
4.32
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.66/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.52
+41% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
19.5 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
340 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 Brondby Brondby 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
01.03.2026 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
31.08.2025 Brondby Brondby 1-3 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
19.05.2025 Brondby Brondby 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
30.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.11.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-5 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-3
AWAY Brondby
1.95 xG 2.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
386 Passes 297
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby squeezed past Midtjylland 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Midtjylland had 55% of the ball to Brondby's 45%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.95 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Midtjylland and 1.67 for Brondby.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Brondby?

Midtjylland 2-3 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 44%, draw 24%, Brondby 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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