Brondby 1-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.76
2-3 Goals
41%
2.09
4-5 Goals
22%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.98
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
16%
5.66
X/2
10%
7.04
X/X
8%
6.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.5
2/2
16%
4.18
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.5 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 36%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.70
-15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
19.2 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Midtjylland
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
361 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.11.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-5 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
31.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
06.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
05.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
21.04.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-2
AWAY Midtjylland
2.87 xG 1.38
62% Ball Possession 38%
24 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
523 Passes 301
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland nicked a narrow win over Brondby 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brondby had 62% of the ball to Midtjylland's 38%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.87 to 1.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brondby.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Brondby and 0.83 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Brondby 1-2 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brondby 43%, draw 23%, Midtjylland 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →