Brondby 1-3 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 31 Aug 2025

📅31/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.36
1/2
6%
24.5
1/X
10%
11.65
X/1
13%
5.92
X/2
12%
6.29
X/X
8%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.65
2/2
14%
3.7
2/X
6%
11.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.49/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.85
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
19.1 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 1.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
395 Passes 348
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2025 Brondby Brondby 1-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
30.03.2025 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-2 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
03.11.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-5 HT 1-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
31.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
06.10.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
05.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-3
AWAY Midtjylland
1.44 xG 2.91
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
373 Passes 405
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland saw off Brondby 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Brondby had 49% of the ball to Midtjylland's 51%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 1.44 to 2.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Brondby and 1.00 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Brondby 1-3 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brondby 44%, draw 24%, Midtjylland 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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