SonderjyskE 1-4 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.66
1/2
5%
21.4
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
7.17
X/2
10%
5.09
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
29%
2.74
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -22%
1.29/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.57
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
14.2 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.36 xG 2.26
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
310 Passes 575
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2026 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
08.02.2026 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
03.08.2025 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
23.02.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 2-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
06.10.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-4
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.99 xG 2.90
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
266 Passes 562
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland cruised past SonderjyskE 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 36% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 64%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.99 to 2.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.33 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

SonderjyskE 1-4 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 33%, draw 22%, FC Nordsjaelland 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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