ATK Mohun Bagan 1-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.67
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.4pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 34%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.15/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.15
+17% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.6 Crosses 15.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 242
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
31.10.2025 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HINSK
11.01.2025 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-0 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.10.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 0-2 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.03.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 1-3 HT 0-3 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
03.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-2 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.01.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-3 HT 1-0 East Bengal East Bengal HINSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
1-1
AWAY East Bengal
1.36 xG 1.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
333 Passes 214
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 22
30 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan and East Bengal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 59% of the ball to East Bengal's 41%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.36 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.00 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

ATK Mohun Bagan 1-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 39%, draw 25%, East Bengal 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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