V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 May 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki
2-2 HT 2-2
Vissel Kobe
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

V-Varen Nagasaki v Vissel Kobe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 58%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.82/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.14
-5% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.5 Crosses 24.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.88 xG 1.35
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
272 Passes 496
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.02.2026 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 2-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
06.10.2018 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-1 HT 1-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP
18.07.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.04.2018 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JLK
07.03.2018 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-2 HT 0-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JLK

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Vissel Kobe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
2-2
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.77 xG 2.97
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
214 Passes 329
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki and Vissel Kobe shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 42% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 58%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.77 to 2.97.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vissel Kobe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 1.60 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 25%, draw 23%, Vissel Kobe 52%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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