Cerezo Osaka 6-1 Nagoya Grampus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.48/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.17
+3% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 17.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
391 Passes 287
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 3-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
04.10.2025 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 2-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
08.03.2025 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
30.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 2-1 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
21.04.2024 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
26.08.2023 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
6-1
AWAY Nagoya Grampus
2.65 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
301 Passes 420
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Cerezo Osaka ran out comfortable winners over Nagoya Grampus 6-1 in the Japan - J1 League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 42% of the ball to Nagoya Grampus's 58%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.65 to 0.99.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 1.67 for Nagoya Grampus.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Cerezo Osaka 6-1 Nagoya Grampus in the Japan - J1 League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 40%, draw 23%, Nagoya Grampus 37%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerezo Osaka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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