Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
24.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fagiano Okayama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.07/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.19
-44% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.6 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fagiano Okayama
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
219 Passes 402
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.03.2026 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
06.12.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP
02.03.2025 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
30.06.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 1-1 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
28.04.2024 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 0-1 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
29.07.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fagiano Okayama
2-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
2.14 xG 0.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
157 Passes 317
58% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fagiano Okayama beat Shimizu S-Pulse 2-0 in the Japan - J1 League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 1-0.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fagiano Okayama had 40% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 60%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.14 to 0.70.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.33 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fagiano Okayama win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fagiano Okayama 39%, draw 29%, Shimizu S-Pulse 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fagiano Okayama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fagiano Okayama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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