Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +4%
1.21/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.90
+79% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.0 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.94 xG 1.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 260
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-1 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
31.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 HT 2-2 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
06.04.2025 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
05.10.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-4 HT 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
07.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
1-1
AWAY Machida Zelvia
2.24 xG 0.34
65% Ball Possession 35%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
589 Passes 293
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Japan - J1 League on 17 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 65% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 35%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.34.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.60 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 27%, draw 29%, Machida Zelvia 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
17 May 2026
07:00 V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
08:00 JEF United vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
08:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Shimizu S-Pulse Analysis →
09:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus Analysis →
09:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →