TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 43%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.98/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.57
-24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2026 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-2 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
26.10.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 0-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
14.08.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LITA
02.06.2024 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 1-3 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 HT 1-0 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1-0
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TransINVEST Vilnius nicked a narrow win over Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day TransINVEST Vilnius made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, TransINVEST Vilnius had 40% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 60%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.80 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 34%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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