ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.86/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.05
+19% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.4 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.84 xG 0.47
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
270 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
11.07.2025 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
28.10.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
19.05.2024 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.05 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
334 Passes 229
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT got the better of Comerciantes Unidos 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day ADT made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 56% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 44%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.05 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for ADT and 0.00 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?

ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split ADT 40%, draw 29%, Comerciantes Unidos 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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