Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.04/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.26
+11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
18.1 Crosses 19.1
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-3D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
245 Passes 264
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
03.05.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
13.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.01.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
03.09.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
2-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.37 xG 0.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
211 Passes 274
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso saw off UTC Cajamarca 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Garcilaso as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 44% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 56%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.37 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.83 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca?

Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 47%, draw 24%, UTC Cajamarca 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ BTTS No
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