Cienciano vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Cienciano
PER
Cienciano 0-1 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima edged past Cienciano 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Cienciano at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cienciano had 58% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 42%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.62 — on chances, Cienciano could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cienciano and 1.17 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Lima?
Cienciano 0-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 48%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cienciano), BTTS Yes went the other way.