Mura 2-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 17 May 2026

Mura
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Maribor
📅17/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Mura vs Maribor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over Pick
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.51
No
40%
2.39
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.24
2-3
45%
1.83
4-5
28%
2.75
6+
8%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
2%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Mura v Maribor — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mura The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor The Market 49%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.26 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.72
1.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.18
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 2

Mura vs Maribor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mura
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Maribor
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.03.2026 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 3-0 Mura Mura SLVN
29.11.2025 Mura Mura 0-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
13.09.2025 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 1-0 Mura Mura SLVN
21.04.2025 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.02.2025 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
26.10.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN

Mura 2-1 Maribor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mura
2 - 1
AWAY Maribor
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
REVIEW Mura vs Maribor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mura edged past Maribor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maribor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came home.

Under the surface, Mura had 35% of the ball to Maribor's 65%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mura and 1.67 for Maribor.

Mura vs Maribor Result & Final Score

Mura 2 - 1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mura vs Maribor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mura 28%, draw 25%, Maribor 48%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Maribor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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