Maribor 1-0 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

Maribor
1 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Mura
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.29
Over
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.35
2-3
42%
1.84
4-5
29%
2.7
6+
11%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Maribor The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura The Market 20%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
2.34 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.95
0.93 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Great Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mura
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.02.2025 Maribor Maribor 2-0 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
26.10.2024 Mura Mura 1-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
11.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 Mura Mura SLVN
09.04.2024 Maribor Maribor 5-0 HT 2-0 Mura Mura SLVN
18.02.2024 Mura Mura 3-0 HT 0-2 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
1 - 0
AWAY Mura
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Maribor vs Mura
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Maribor shaded a tight game against Mura 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Maribor had 49% of the ball to Mura's 51%, shots finished 7-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Mura.

Maribor vs Mura Result & Final Score

Maribor 1 - 0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Maribor vs Mura Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Maribor 67%, draw 19%, Mura 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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