Maribor vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Maribor v Mura — Team-Based Signals
Maribor vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Maribor 1-0 Mura — Actual Match Statistics
Maribor shaded a tight game against Mura 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Maribor had 49% of the ball to Mura's 51%, shots finished 7-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maribor and 1.00 for Mura.
Maribor vs Mura Result & Final Score
Maribor 1 - 0 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Maribor vs Mura Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Maribor 67%, draw 19%, Mura 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.