Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 May 2026

📅17/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.14/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.16
-23% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.94 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
176 Passes 282
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2026 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
26.10.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
28.04.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.10.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
29.03.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
08.03.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Cerro Largo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 47% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 53%, shots finished 7-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.50 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 46%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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