Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
68%
-3.4pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
2.59/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.89
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
434 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
5W-1D-0L
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
02.11.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 0-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
03.08.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-3 HT 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
10.05.2025 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
16.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
29.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-2
AWAY JK Tammeka Tartu
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JK Tammeka Tartu nicked a narrow win over Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nomme JK Kalju at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 59% of the ball to JK Tammeka Tartu's 41%, shots finished 13-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 1.00 for JK Tammeka Tartu.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-2 JK Tammeka Tartu in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs JK Tammeka Tartu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 65%, draw 19%, JK Tammeka Tartu 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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