JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.95
Draw
26%
5.28
Away
51%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+13.6pp
26%
Draw
16%
+10.2pp
51%
Away Win
75%
-23.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 80%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +8%
0.77/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.65
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +18%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-2 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
29.09.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 2-3 HT 1-3 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
27.07.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 3-0 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
28.06.2024 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
03.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-2 HT 3-2 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
23.09.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-1 HT 1-1 JK Tammeka Tartu JK Tammeka Tartu EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JK Tammeka Tartu
0-1
AWAY Nomme JK Kalju
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju edged past JK Tammeka Tartu 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, JK Tammeka Tartu had 35% of the ball to Nomme JK Kalju's 65%, shots finished 5-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for JK Tammeka Tartu and 2.83 for Nomme JK Kalju.

What was the final score of JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

JK Tammeka Tartu 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JK Tammeka Tartu vs Nomme JK Kalju?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JK Tammeka Tartu 23%, draw 26%, Nomme JK Kalju 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju)
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