FC Kuressaare 2-0 Tallinna Kalev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.52/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.80
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
284 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 4-1 HT 1-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
19.10.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 2-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
09.08.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
03.07.2024 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-2 HT 2-2 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
29.03.2024 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-0 HT 1-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
01.10.2023 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-1 HT 1-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
2-0
AWAY Tallinna Kalev
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare beat Tallinna Kalev 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Kuressaare as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Kuressaare had 43% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 57%, shots finished 13-25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Kuressaare had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Kuressaare and 1.33 for Tallinna Kalev.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

FC Kuressaare 2-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Tallinna Kalev?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 44%, draw 27%, Tallinna Kalev 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Kuressaare) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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