Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 17 Jun 2026

📅17/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.43
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-0.2pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.7pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.76/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.66
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 HT 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
20.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
08.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paide Linnameeskond
1-0
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paide Linnameeskond nicked a narrow win over Harju Jalgpallikool 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paide Linnameeskond as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paide Linnameeskond had 49% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 51%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paide Linnameeskond and 1.33 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Paide Linnameeskond 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 17/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paide Linnameeskond vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Paide Linnameeskond 65%, draw 16%, Harju Jalgpallikool 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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