Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
55%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+0.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 58%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
0.77/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.96
-46% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +19%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 3-0 HT 1-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
03.08.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.05.2025 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
12.04.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-2 HT 0-1 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
08.10.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 4-0 HT 2-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
06.08.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-1 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harju Jalgpallikool
2-2
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harju Jalgpallikool and Paide Linnameeskond couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Paide Linnameeskond carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Harju Jalgpallikool had 46% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 54%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harju Jalgpallikool and 1.83 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Harju Jalgpallikool 2-2 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harju Jalgpallikool vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Harju Jalgpallikool 23%, draw 22%, Paide Linnameeskond 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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