FC Flora Tallinn 6-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.55/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.62
-20% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.08.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.06.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
6-0
AWAY Trans Narva
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Trans Narva 6-0. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 51% of the ball to Trans Narva's 49%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.00 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 6-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 56%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 21%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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