Trans Narva 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
58%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
58%
Away Win
59%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
0.90/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.83
-18% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.06.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
18.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
06.04.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 4-3 HT 2-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-1
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva and FC Flora Tallinn couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had FC Flora Tallinn at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 45% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 55%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trans Narva and 2.50 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Trans Narva 1-1 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 20%, draw 22%, FC Flora Tallinn 58%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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