Nomme JK Kalju 7-1 Nomme United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 22 Apr 2026

📅22/04/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
63%
-4.5pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nomme United EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.21/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.19
+10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Nomme United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.09.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
19.07.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-4 HT 0-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 HT 1-1 Nomme United Nomme United EST1
17.03.2024 Nomme United Nomme United 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
7-1
AWAY Nomme United
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju cruised past Nomme United 7-1. Half-time: 2-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nomme JK Kalju as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 60% of the ball to Nomme United's 40%, shots finished 22-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nomme JK Kalju had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 0.25 for Nomme United.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Nomme JK Kalju 7-1 Nomme United in the Estonia - Premium League on 22/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs Nomme United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nomme JK Kalju win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 58%, draw 21%, Nomme United 21%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nomme JK Kalju) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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