FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +20%
2.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.05
+6% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Trans Narva
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
02.08.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.06.2025 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
01.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
17.09.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
03.08.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-1 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
18.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4-0
AWAY Trans Narva
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Trans Narva 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 54% of the ball to Trans Narva's 46%, shots finished 24-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 1.17 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

FC Flora Tallinn 4-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 61%, draw 22%, Trans Narva 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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