F91 Diddeleng 2-3 Atletic Club DEscaldes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.36
6+ Goals
8%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME F91 Diddeleng EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes EU Bookmakers 28%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+20% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME F91 Diddeleng
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.07.2025 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes 2-0 HT 2-0 F91 Diddeleng F91 Diddeleng AVKL
18.07.2024 F91 Diddeleng F91 Diddeleng 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletic Club DEscaldes Atletic Club DEscaldes AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME F91 Diddeleng
2-3
AWAY Atletic Club DEscaldes
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Club DEscaldes squeezed past F91 Diddeleng 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was F91 Diddeleng at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, F91 Diddeleng had 63% of the ball to Atletic Club DEscaldes's 37%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for F91 Diddeleng and 1.00 for Atletic Club DEscaldes.

What was the final score of F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

F91 Diddeleng 2-3 Atletic Club DEscaldes in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for F91 Diddeleng vs Atletic Club DEscaldes?

Before kick-off our model rated a F91 Diddeleng win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split F91 Diddeleng 42%, draw 25%, Atletic Club DEscaldes 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (F91 Diddeleng) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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